Webs y Blogs de Prospectivas

Francisco Mójica: Es Doctor en “Ciencias Humanas” de la Universidad de París V “René Descartes” (Sorbona) y postdoctorado en “Prospectiva y  Estrategia” en el “Laboratoire d’Investigation en Prospective, Stratégie et Organisations” bajo la dirección del profesor Michel Godet,  en París…

Rafael Popper: Dr Rafael Popper is Research Fellow at Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of the University of Manchester, where he completed his PhD on 21st Century Foresight. He is also Innovation Director and CEO of Futures Diamond in Czech Republic; Director of the iKnow Project; Director of the Summer/Winter Schools of the International Foresight Academy (IFA); and Leader of the Mapping activities of the European Foresight Platform (EFP). His main areas of work include: ‘foresight’ as an instrument of policy, the development of foresight and horizon scanning methodology, the design of forward-looking activities and their evaluation (with a focus on European and Latin American innovation policies)…

Juanjo Gabiña: Nací en Donostia, una bonita ciudad situada a orillas del Golfo de Bizkaia, que algunos conoceréis mejor como San Sebastián, País Vasco o Euskal Herria, como más os guste. Hace ya muchos años, cuando todavía era joven, acabé mis estudios de ingeniería industrial, en la Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Industriales de la Universidad de Navarra. Posteriormente, la carrera de ingeniería me supo a poco, pues quería dedicarme a la planificación en base a la estrategia y, para ello, necesitaba saber cómo preparar con anticipación el futuro…

Hugo San Martín: Hugo San Martín nació en la ciudad de La Paz en la República de Bolivia un primero de octubre de 1960. Estudió en el Instituto Americano. Los estudios universitarios los realizó en la Universidad Mayor de San Andrés donde se graduó como abogado constitucionalista además de cientista político. Es Master en Ciencias Políticas de la Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales…




Webs para los cazadores de Tendencias y Cambios

The Trend Compendium 2030 by Roland Berger Strategy Consultants supports corporate strategists and top executives as they try to answer this question. We have conducted global research, analyzed data and interpreted the results.

Trend Watching: Established in 2002, we help forward-thinking business professionals in 180+ countries understand the new consumer and subsequently uncover compelling, profitable innovation opportunities.

With this challenge in mind, the EEA in 2010 produced its first assessment of emerging global trends as part of its five-yearly flagship report on the European environment’s state and outlook (SOER 2010). The exploratory analysis summarised 11 global megatrends (GMTs) grouped into five clusters — social, technological, economic, environmental and governance.

Delivering Tomorrow – Dialogue on future trends: This blog presents views on the economy, technology, logistics, the environment and society from Deutsche Post DHL Group experts and leading experts from the field.

TECH CAST: All organizations need technology forecasts for their strategic planning because technology drives the creative destruction of markets, introduces disruptive products and services, and alters the way organizations work.

BT TECHNOLOGY TIMELIME: Una línea de tiempo del 2006 al 2050

ENVISIONING: Understanding where technology is heading is more than guesswork. Looking at emerging trends and research, one can predict and draw conclusions about how the technological sphere is developing, and which technologies should become mainstream in the coming years.

FUTURETIMELIME.NET: Here you will find a speculative timeline of future history. Part fact and part fiction, the timeline is based on detailed research that includes analysis of current trends, projected long-term environmental changes, advances in technology such as Moore’s Law, future medical breakthroughs, and the evolving geopolitical landscape.

LIST OF EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES: This LIST contains some of the most prominent ongoing developments, advances, and innovations in various fields of modern technology. Emerging technologiesare those technical innovations which represent progressive developments within a field for competitive advantage. Opinions vary on the feasibility, importance, status, and economic viability of different emerging technologies.

WHAT’S NEXT: Here’s just a small list of some of the sites I find interesting, useful or both. As you’d expect I couldn’t include everything so I’ll update this list from time to time.

Tendencias 21 es por tanto una fórmula de periodismo inteligente aplicado al conocimiento y la divulgación de la ciencia en su más amplio significado, ya que ofrece una visión interdisciplinar que integra no sólo las más diversas ramas de la investigación científica, sino también los avances más significativos en los esquemas del pensamiento y la organización social.

Trend Tablet: This tool explains how trends grow, evolve and flow; helping us to better perceive and understand they interact  with our daily life.

The Cool Hunter is a natural fit for its readers – creative influencers who stay in the know and ahead of the curve. Global in outlook, culturally discerning, The Cool Hunter readers are connected, creatively aware, confident, stylish and sociable. They value architecture, design, style, music, fashion and entertainment. They work, play and travel internationally and bring with them distinguished tastes and a demanding appetite for quality information.

Trendsity: Trabajamos con un abordaje multidimensional que permite transformar los hallazgos de la investigación en oportunidades concretas de negocio y crecimiento.

Metodología y Prospectiva. ¡Para qué inventar la pólvora!

Metodología y Prospectiva. ¡Para qué inventar la pólvora!


METODOLOGÍA DE LA PROSPECTIVA, POR RAFAEL POPPER: El objetivo principal es ayudar a los usuarios de la prospectiva a mejorar sus diseños metodológicos de proyectos y programas, de tal manera que se logren diferentes y mejores resultados.

Organizaciones, Prospectiva y Estudios de Futuro. Mirar Global, Actuar Local.

Organizaciones y Prospectiva. Mirar Global, Actuar Local.

A un poco más de un mes de encontrarme en el Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico – CEPLAN, siento haber redescubierto la prospectiva y los estudios de futuro nuevamente, pero en un nuevo contexto, donde convergen mayor cantidad de intereses y participan diversos actores con diferentes instrumentos para persuadir al resto.

Y en esta bella etapa de resdescubrimiento, he vuelto a navegar en la red para ubicar instituciones vinculadas al tema, recordando una frase muy conocida que suelo usar en mis presentaciones: Think Global, Act Local!!!

Espero que esta lista de links, les pueda ahorrar un poco de tiempo, si lo que están buscando es información o organizaciones vinculada a los estudios de futuro y la prospectiva:

Biblioteca virtual de CEPAL ILPES de Prospectiva y Desarrollo

ORBIS, Open Repository Base on International Strategic Studies: The world’s largest library of prospective studies is at your fingertips. Discover the long-term trends that will shape society. Read, learn and contemplate a wide variety of topics that concern you and the rest of the world’s citizens.

The Journal of Futures Studies is a globally-oriented, trans-disciplinary refereed journal. Its mission is to develop high-quality, futures-oriented research and thinking, based on the evolving knowledge base of Futures Studies / Foresight.

TechForesight: Tech Foresight offers challenging, provocative and personal visions of the future from our world-leading academic talent, looking ahead to what the next decades could offer as a consequence of breakthrough discoveries we see across our labs today. Our mission is to broaden and deepen relations between Imperial College and its corporate partners in ways that stimulate discussion, collaboration and the imagination.

The main goals of the 2045 Initiative: the creation and realization of a new strategy for the development of humanity which meets global civilization challenges; the creation of optimale conditions promoting the spiritual enlightenment of humanity; and the realization of a new futuristic reality based on 5 principles: high spirituality, high culture, high ethics, high science and high technologies.

The Centre for Strategic Futures was therefore established in early 2009, as part of the Strategic Policy Office (SPO) in the Public Service Division (PSD) of the Prime Minister’s Office of Singapore. This situates it at the heart of government, with the ability to reach across agency stovepipes, and draw upon the existing networks and analysis in SPO.

India Future Society(IFS) is a non-profit organization which advocates to spread awareness about the emerging future technologies for masses and use of technology to expand human capacities. Your focus are on emerging technologies, and what practical aspects can be extracted out of it for the benefit of entire mankind. We want to aim deep influence on a new generation of thinkers, who dare to envision humanity’s next steps. Our programs are a combination of  unique insights into the developments of emerging and speculative technologies like Mind uploading, Simulated/ Virtual reality, Genetics, Nanotechnology, Radical Life Extension and AGI(Artificial General Intelligence) that would focus on the well-being of our species.

The Hub Horizon Scanning: This website is a forum for gathering new ideas and information and spreading best practice drawn from national and international experience. The horizon scanning work at the CfWI is part of our wider programme to improve the quality of health and social care workforce intelligence. Horizon scanning sits alongside our work in scenario generation and workforce modelling, which together aim to make workforce planning better informed by long-term considerations.

iKnow: Es una plataforma/Comunidad (observatorio) vinculada a la innovación, la prospectiva y el “Horizon Scanning”que tiene más de 2000 miembros de  100 países del mundo.

Forlearn: Support to mutual learning between Foresight managers, practitioners, users and stakeholders of policy-making organisations in Europe.

BIS. The Department for Business, Innovation and Skills UK: is making a difference by supporting sustained growth and higher skills across the economy. BIS: working together for growth (Este cuenta con un Programa de Prospectiva: Foresight).

Foresight’s Horizon Scanning Centre has built this toolkit: Exploring the future: Tools for strategic thinking for anyone who uses, or would like to use, futures thinking and analysis to make better decisions today.

Doing Foresight is a support instrument for future oriented policy analysis activities/projects. It will help you examine your problem and choose aims. You can use it to screen for relevant methods. And you can examine your performance compared to your aims/ambitions. Eventually, it will support you in evaluating your activity.

The Sigma Scan has now been enhanced with new Web 2.0 features. Simply register with us to access these features. As a registered user you have the opportunity to be part of a new online network of strategic thinkers. You can also bookmark your own favourite papers, make suggestions for new ones, vote on the impact, likelihood and controversy of the ideas in the papers, exchange comments, and download a selection of horizon scanning publications.

Delta Scan: This is a forum for scanning the science and technology horizon over the next 50 years. The forum contains a hundred outlook pages covering a wide range of scientific disciplines and technologies. These include topics associated with the future geography and structure of science.

HSE: Here you will find information on this work, the trends identified and their potential impact on occupational health and safety.

IPTS. The Institute for Prospective Technological Studies is one of the seven scientific institutes of the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC). We are located in Seville, Spain. Since 1994, IPTS promotes and enables a better understanding of the links between technology, economy and society.

European Foresight Platform (EFP)is a network building program supported by the European Commission’s (Framework Programme 7). It aims at building a global network of networks bringing together different communities and individual professionals to share their knowledge about foresight, forecasting and other future studies methods.

European Foresight: The work of the European Foresight team of the Knowledge for Growth (KfG) Unit of JRC-IPTS centres on the provision of forward looking intelligence to support decision making and enhancing the use of Foresight as an instrument for policy making in Europe.

PASHMINA (Paradigm Shifts Modelling and Innovative Approaches)The project will  show that it is possible to better address global changes in a long term time perspective (2030–2050), making a first development of tools – new generations of models and indicators – with enhanced capabilities to take into account the interaction between the economy and the environment, paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-environment nexus and the land-use and territorial functions.

FINLAND FUTURES RESEARCH: The Finland Futures Research Centre refines visionary knowledge regarding alternative futures and the challenges and possibilities included in them. The Centre offers analytical futures-oriented information in interesting formats to back up its clients futures processes.

CGEE: Centro de Gestâo e Estudos Estratégicos. Promover e realizar estudos e pesquisas prospectivas de alto nível na área de ciência e tecnologia e suas relações com setores produtivos; promover e realizar atividades de avaliação de estratégias e de impactos econômicos e sociais das políticas, programas e projetos científicos e tecnológicos.

Through its Strategic Foresight practice, the World Economic Forum provides a unique, neutral platform and a powerful process for multistakeholder engagement. The Strategic Foresight team at the Forum engages policy-makers and leaders from business and civil society in strategic dialogues to better understand and address complex and long-term challenges.

MyForesight (National Foresight Institute): Is a pioneering, national-level initiative dedicated to the study and application of the field of Foresight. It is undertaken by the Malaysian-Industry Government Group for High Technology (MIGHT), an agency under the Prime Minister’s Department. Utilizing scientific and hybrid methodologies, myForesight conducts various foresight-related programmes nationwide. The programmes serves to guide the government and industry to systematically look into the future.

Foresight 2030: For the first time ever, a separate foresight-insight work stage was included in the preparation of the foresight report, with the purpose of seeking new directions for Finland in a new way. A large number of experts participated in the related theme groups, organised in the autumn of 2012. In addition, a broad-based national debate was conducted on the http://www.2030.fi website and at regional events. The Internet questionnaire in the spring, and the analysis of material and workshops, formed the basis of this. They assisted in selecting six themes for the foresight process.

PRODESINGLAB. Laboratorio de Prospectiva en Diseño: El equipo está formado por investigadores y profesionales del ámbito del diseño, la prospectiva y la innovación.

FUTURIBLES: Centre indépendant d’étude et de réflexion prospective sur le monde contemporain, Futuribles analyse depuis plus de 40 ans, au-delà des effets de mode, quels sont les éléments vraiment structurants et les futurs possibles (futur-ibles).

HAWAII FUTURES. The Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies was established by the Hawaii State Legislature in 1971. It is one of the world’s most renowned institutions for futures research, consulting, and education.

WFS: The World Future Society is an organization of people dedicated to exploring the future. Since its establishment more than 40 years ago, the Society and THE FUTURIST magazine have endeavored to do one thing and to excel at it and that is to serve as a neutral clearinghouse of ideas on the future.

WFSF: The World Futures Studies Federation is a global NGO that was founded in the 1960s to encourage and promote the development of futures studies as a transdisciplinary academic and professional field in all parts of the world. WFSF operates as a global network of practicing futurists – researchers, teachers, scholars, policy analysts, activists and others from approximately 60 countries.

IFTF: The Institute for the Future is an independent nonprofit research group. We work with organizations of all kinds to help them make better, more informed decisions about the future. We provide the foresight to create insights that lead to action.

IFP: The OECD International Futures Programme provides the Organisation with an early warning of emerging issues, pinpoints major developments, and analyses key long-term concerns to help governments map strategy. The Programme uses a variety of tools including multiyear projects, high-level conferences, expert workshops, and consultations; a futures-oriented online information system, and a network of contacts from government, industry, academia and civil society.

RFF: The mission of Resources for the Future is to improve environmental and natural resource policymaking worldwide through objective social science of the highest caliber.

IIASA: Founded in 1972, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis is an international research organization that conducts policy-oriented research  into problems that are too large or too complex to be solved by a single country or academic discipline.

LA PROSPECTIVE: Michel Godet est Professeur au Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, titulaire de la Chaire de prospective stratégique.

METAFUTURE: Hosted by Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojevic, this site explores these and many more futures-oriented issues.

MILLENNIUM PROJECT: The Millennium Project was founded in 1996 after a three-year feasibility study with the United Nations University, Smithsonian Institution, Futures Group International, and the American Council for the UNU. It is now an independent non-profit global participatory futures research think tank of futurists, scholars, business planners, and policy makers who work for international organizations, governments, corporations, NGOs, and universities.

OPTI: La Fundación OPTI lleva más de una década contribuyendo a la identificación de las tendencias tecnológicas más relevantes para el desarrollo de nuestra sociedad. OPTI pone su experiencia en prospectiva y vigilancia tecnológica al servicio de la innovación y la competitividad de la empresa de hoy, que aspira a ser la del mañana, y de la toma de decisiones por parte del sector público.

PERSONAL FUTURES NETWORK: The Personal Futures Network introduces some new, easily understood approaches that will help you to think like a futurist and learn about your personal futures.

Anticipation & Foresight: Keeping an eye on tomorrow is one of the guiding principles of UNESCO, where the foresight function plays an essential part in identifying possible futures and exploring new paths for action in all its fields of competence.

UNIDO Technology foresight: is regarded as the most upstream element of the technology development process. It provides inputs for the formulation of technology policies and strategies that guide the development of the technological infrastructure. In addition, technology foresight provides support to innovation, and incentives and assistance to enterprises in the domain of technology management and technology transfer, leading to enhanced competitiveness and growth.

Foresight Institute is a leading think tank and public interest organization focused on transformative future technologies. Founded in 1986, its mission is to discover and promote the upsides, and help avoid the dangers, of nanotechnology, AI, biotech, and similar life-changing developments.

Atlantic Council: The Strategic Foresight Initiative (SFI) develops actionable foresight by identifying and assessing long-term, emerging global trends; connecting them to current challenges to inform policy and draw implications for strategy; and designing innovative strategies to reach desired future scenarios.

The International Institute of Forecasters (IIF), a non-profit organization founded in 1981, is dedicated to developing and furthering the generation, distribution, and use of knowledge on forecasting.

Arup’s Foresight team identifies and monitors the trends and issues likely to have a significant impact upon the built environment and society at large.

Alternative Futures Associates (AFA) is a consultancy with a track record of over 30 years helping private sector leaders choose their better future by developing strategies that account for future risk and reward. In many sectors, companies, and cultures, we guide corporate clients through futures methods such as scanning the horizon for emerging issues, discovering new trends, collecting and creating forecasts, developing scenarios and visions.

Intelligence Forecasting: es a corporation dedicated to creating and applying knowledge within the general scope of public and private planning management and programming tasks and projects.

Shapping Tomorrow: The company engage in holistic strategic planning and synthesized future thinking, insights curation, trends analysis and consumer research, threat assessment, business development and knowledge management through public and private engagement on issues key to your future, today.

Foresight Alliance: We envision a world in which every organization looks beyond the current quarter or current year, to anticipate and shape its future by applying the disciplines of foresight in ways that inform strategy, stimulate innovation, and add to the bottom line.

Z_punkt: The Foresight Company is a leading strategy and foresight consultancy, operating internationally and focussing on strategic future issues. We are experts in corporate foresight – the translation of findings derived from trend and futures research into practical advice to assist with strategic management.

PSFK : For our core audience, the site will remain a place to look for new ideas to use at work – but for our larger community, we will be a place for inspiration for every part of their lives. We’ll continue to understand that we will be speaking to an imaginative audience that mixes and balances work with life: creative minds that enjoy play as much as they thrive off success.

CIFS: Contributing with knowledge and inspiration, the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies supports decision-making. We identify and analyse trends that influence the future nationally and internationally.

GBN: The Global Business Network specializes in helping organizations adapt and grow more effectively and more responsibly in the face of mounting uncertainty — whether it’s uncertainty about their future, the future of their industry, or the future of the world at large. Founded in 1987 and part of Monitor since 2000, we work in close partnership with leading companies, governments, and nonprofits to help them address their most critical long-term challenges.

Spatial Foresight GmbH is a Luxembourg-based company which provides territorial policy support and research.

Strategic Foresight Group (SFG) is a think – tank engaged in crafting new policy concepts that enable decision makers to prepare for a future in uncertain times. Founded in 2002 to create new forms of intellectual capital, our body of work today encompasses over 50 countries, across four continents.

FUTURLAB es una unidad especial de investigación de la Universidad de Alicante creada para ayudar a instituciones públicas y empresas privadas a mejorar su competitividad, ser más proactivas e innovadoras, y desarrollar una visión prospectiva a partir de la transferencia de know-how y resultados de investigación, la formación y el benchmarking.

Thinking Futures: They offer very defined services and work with you to help you develop and implement the components of doing strategic foresight in practice.

Global Foresight: It lists communities, degree programs, courses, people, employers, organizations, and educational materials that help advance our global foresight culture.

FERN is a online network for people interested in foresight and long term strategy planning. We work together to promote and understanding of foresight with active projects and by connecting online & offline to foresight opportunities worldwide.

ASF: is an educational 501(c)(3) nonprofit engaged in outreach, education, research, and selective advocacy with respect to issues and processes of accelerating change. We help communities, companies, and individuals improve their foresight capacity (innovation, creativity, strategy, planning, forecasting, and security) with respect to the most powerful force on the planet today – accelerating technological change.